Business

Beyond the Terminal: NRIs should factor ‘Inevitable India’ into their portfolios


This is an experience every NRI knows by heart. You return to India after years away and find a country that feels both familiar and transformed. The airport is more efficient, the infrastructure seamless, and aspirations more visible.

Then you fly back. The memories settle somewhere between pride and surprise as life abroad resumes. And when it comes to managing your wealth, you carry on as though those observations had no bearing on how you invest.

Unlike economies whose fortunes hinge on a single theme, India is diverse. It has new-age tech companies and decades-old industrials. A financial sector serving millions of first-time borrowers and investors. A consumption story powered by a rising middle class and an infra buildout that is underway. Exports and global themes matter, but India’s primary engine has always been domestic demand. That is what sets India apart from other EMs.

Some of India’s key reforms– GST, IBC, labour reforms, DPI–have emerged when the cost of inaction became too high. CMs are now actively courting businesses, domestic and global. Cooperative and competitive federalism are visible on the ground.

For an NRI assessing India from overseas, the sharp rupee depreciation over the past couple of years may prompt caution. In dollar terms, returns on Indian investments have looked softer than the underlying rupee performance would suggest. It deserves a closer look though.

On a real effective exchange rate (REER) basis, the rupee appears undervalued. Recent weakness reflects FPI outflows driven by valuation gaps, AI-led investment trends, tariff uncertainty, geopolitical tensions in West Asia, and elevated US bond yields—cyclical pressures rather than structural flaws.